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Analysis

All publications

Timely and in-depth analysis on oil prices, geopolitics and the Strait of Hormuz.

Strait of Hormuz at night with near-empty shipping lanes as commercial vessel traffic collapses.

Hormuz Is Open. Shipping Has Already Collapsed.

Strait of Hormuz shipping has collapsed even though the waterway remains open. HormuzEye maps why functional disruption now looks like a partial closure.

8 September 2026 · 8 min read

Refinery gauge panel: crude needle calm, diesel gauge cracked past 100, symbolizing the record diesel crack spread

The Split Oil Market: Why Diesel Broke $100 While Crude Stays Calm

28 August 2026 · 7 min read

Strait of Hormuz satellite view with ship traffic data showing 6 vessel crossings on 18 August 2026 versus 130 before the war

Is the Strait of Hormuz Open? A New Ship Attack Shows Why the Data Says No

19 August 2026 · 8 min read

Aerial night view of the Strait of Hormuz shipping lane with only two vessels visible, illustrating the collapse in commercial tanker traffic during the August 2026 blockade

Hormuz Update: Weekend Traffic Collapses, US Reserves Break Below 300 Million Barrels

11 August 2026 · 7 min read

Oil market volatility and headline-driven trading around a Hormuz oil spike

Should You Trade the Oil Spike? Why Speed Is the Worst Edge in Oil Markets

27 July 2026 · Updated 3 August 2026 · 8 min read

Locked pipeline valve symbolizing a blockade at the Strait of Hormuz amid rising oil market tensions

Hormuz Crisis = Once-in-a-Decade Opportunity for Tanker Investors?

20 July 2026 · Updated 3 August 2026 · 5 min read

HormuzEye is now active on X, featuring oil tankers and market charts in the Strait of Hormuz.

HormuzEye Is Now on X

17 July 2026 · 2 min read

July 2026 tanker attacks near the Strait of Hormuz as the US naval blockade returns

Ceasefire Dead, Blockade Back: Eight Days That Reset the Hormuz Crisis

16 July 2026 · Updated 28 August 2026 · 9 min read

Oil supertanker transiting the Strait of Hormuz at dusk beneath a stormy sky with golden light on the horizon

Buy the Hormuz Shock, or Wait? A Scenario Map for Investors

13 July 2026 · 18 min read

Split oil barrel illustration representing conflicting bearish and bullish forces in the 2026 crude oil market

Oil at $78 Is Priced Between Two Worlds. The Middle Rarely Holds

9 July 2026 · 10 min read

Oil tanker with naval escort transiting the Strait of Hormuz at dusk amid ongoing tensions

Priced for Peace: What $73 Brent Gets Wrong About Hormuz

2 July 2026 · 9 min read

Oil tanker at dusk in the Strait of Hormuz as the geopolitical risk premium fades, June 2026

Oil Prices Are Falling, But the Strait of Hormuz Risk Has Not

25 June 2026 · Updated 3 August 2026 · 9 min read

US delegation arriving in Switzerland for the US-Iran talks steering oil markets after the June 2026 ceasefire

Oil After the Ceasefire: Where the Market Stands and What Comes Next

21 June 2026 · 7 min read

Diagram of the Iran-US 14-point memorandum showing Strait of Hormuz reopening, sanctions relief and the 60-day talks timeline

The Iran-US 14-Point Deal: What It's Really Worth for Oil

18 June 2026 · 11 min read

Falling oil price chart with Strait of Hormuz map as traders reduce the geopolitical risk premium

Why Oil Prices Fell Sharply: Is the Hormuz Risk Premium Fading?

15 June 2026 · 11 min read

US-Iran negotiations with oil tankers near the Strait of Hormuz and a volatile oil price chart, the geopolitical cost of the Iran war

Art of the Deal? What America Actually Gained from the Iran War

11 June 2026 · 11 min read

Trading desk with rising oil price chart and the Strait of Hormuz in the background, June 2026

Strait of Hormuz: Oil Prices & the Iran Conflict (June 2026)

8 June 2026 · 11 min read

Saudi Aramco oil terminal near Red Sea during Hormuz crisis with tankers and pipelines at sunrise

Saudi Aramco Thriving Despite the Hormuz Crisis: Why the Kingdom Is Holding Up Better Than Expected

7 June 2026 · 7 min read

Burning oil refinery with large explosion and smoke plumes during the Hormuz energy crisis

Hormuz escalation: what does it mean for WTI?

4 June 2026 · 8 min read

Oil tanker and drilling platform at sunset in the Persian Gulf with oil pumps on the horizon

Backwardation vs. contango: reading market signals

1 June 2026 · 6 min read

Satellite image from space of the Strait of Hormuz with glowing oil transport routes to Asia

Sanctions & tanker routes: the quiet shift

28 May 2026 · 10 min read

Oil tankers moored at an oil refinery in the Persian Gulf at night with burning gas flares

OPEC+ production decision: expectations vs. reality

25 May 2026 · 7 min read